Mortgage rates are above 7%, but this is bigger than the Fed.
Conventional 30-year fixed rates are around 7.25% or higher, while VA rates are averaging approximately 6.89% nationwide. Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury has climbed to around 5.17%, its highest level since 2007.
So why are mortgage rates still so high?
In this week’s Monday Rate Update, I break down why this isn’t just a Federal Reserve story—it’s also a bond market, debt, inflation, and oil story.
We’ll look at why Treasury yields have surged, how the massive amount of government and corporate debt competing for buyers can push yields higher, and why that ultimately puts pressure on mortgage rates.
We also have a big week ahead with PCE inflation, ADP employment, jobless claims, and the September jobs report.
And most importantly, I break down what buyers, sellers, and homeowners can actually do in this market—including seller credits, rate buydowns, 5/1 ARMs, VA loan assumptions, and protecting a low fixed mortgage rate.
🏠 CURRENT RATE SNAPSHOT
🇺🇸 VA: ~6.89%
🏡 Conventional: ~7.25%+
📈 10-Year Treasury: ~5.17%
📌 VIDEO CHAPTERS
00:00 Why Are Mortgage Rates So High?
00:40 Conventional Rates Above 7% & VA Near 6.89%
01:40 This Is a Bond & Debt Problem
02:40 How We Got Here
04:00 The Fed, Inflation & Higher Bond Yields
04:40 Oil Prices & Inflation Pressure
05:20 The Bigger Problem: Too Much Debt for Sale
06:00 Why Bond Supply Pushes Yields Higher
07:40 What Could Bring Rates Down?
08:40 What to Watch This Week
09:20 ADP Jobs Report & PCE Inflation
10:20 September Jobs Report
11:20 What Buyers Can Do Right Now
11:40 Seller Credits & Rate Buydowns
12:20 Oʻahu Buyers Have Negotiating Power
13:00 What Sellers Need to Do Differently
13:40 VA Loan Assumptions
14:00 Homeowners: Protect Your Low Rate
15:20 Pay Down High-Interest Debt
16:20 Bottom Line: This Is Bigger Than the Fed
17:00 Control What You Can Control
Whether you're buying, selling, or staying put, run the numbers and focus on what you can control.
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